Some short while ago, it all looked really quite simple, either the Conservatives would win the 2015 election or Labour would win.
And of course, the Liberal Democrats would prostitute themselves to the winning party.
But during the last four months the shape of British politics has become increasingly even more altered and unpredictable than we could ever have imagined.
First we had a split on the right (Tories/UKIP); then one on the left (Labour/SNP); and then there was the green surge (Lib Dems/Greens/Labour) which was created by Downing Street when the Prime Minister threatened not to participate in the election debates unless Natalie Bennett was included. Well done (call me) Dave!
Together the combinations of Labour/LibDem/SNP/Greens throw up the prospect of some frightening coalitions and warning of the chaos they will produce; this will be particularly so in a Milliband-Salmond coalition.
A weak minority Labour Government will undoubtedly depend on SNP support and this throws up some interesting questions: could that mean the prospect of transferring more English tax revenues to Scotland; could it mean the end of the UK’s nuclear deterrent; will Mr Salmond be forever demanding that the Scottish tail wags the English dog?
And of course Nicola Sturgeon makes no excuses; her tartan army will be marching on Westminster to demand an even better deal for Scots; she simply does not care about the English. She has already ruled out any prospect of a coalition with us.
The Conservatives claim to have brought Britain to the cusp of locking in recovery, growth, more jobs and better wages. They have not.
Perhaps they should collectively turn to Sir Malcolm Rifkind for advice who has resigned after being outed following allegations that he has been caught with his fingers in the till.
As for MPs jobs outside Parliament, we should look closely at our own MP after his own revelations that he has a nice little earner on the side.
And on the question of immigration, they have been so quiet, but in reports today net migration to the UK has risen to 298,000, according to the final set of figures before the election.
The numbers, for the year ending in September 2014, is now well above the level of migration when David Cameron came to power in 2010. The Tories, hoped to get it to below 100,000, and have said the figures were “disappointing” and blamed a rise in EU migration and Lib Dem “constraints. So what’s new.
Just look what happened to the Lib Dems; I expect that they now collectively look back on their days of beards and sandals with deep affection and wonder whether Government was in the end worth it. Calamity Clegg has done everything he can to undermine good government. Oh, and he tells porkies – ask students!
And what about the Greens and Bennett’s recent disastrous ‘car crash’ interview?
Not for the first time she has blustered and foundered. In January, on an appearance on the BBC’s Sunday Politics with Andrew Neil, Bennett was unable to account for multibillion pound holes in her party’s plans for a ‘citizens income’, which involved giving every adult £72 a week, regardless of whether they in employment or not.
So what do the Greens want, apart from more organic fertiliser on our fields? Well, Natalie Bennett is quite keen on removing the Queen, banning the circus and zoos, giving everyone a citizens’ wage, taking us out of NATO and Ofsted, scrapping the army and instead having a dedicated home guard and then fully embracing the concept of recession by adding more to our debt because our money, when all is said and done, is less important than quality of life.
And then there is the question of the EU. The Greens do not want us to leave Europe because they think it’s easy to change rules that don’t suit them (best ask Dave how he is faring on that one!)
And they believe the raison d’être for our embassies’ should be “about learning about culture and current affairs of the host countries”. Hmm.
Oh, and not forgetting the major scourge of our age of course, terrorism, which as we all should recognise (according to Ms Bennett) that this is merely a figment of our imagination and it is simply a term “used by those in power to justify excessive use of force.” Well done Natalie – nice woman, wrong planet!
But of course, that does not really matter does it? After all those policies they resolutely proliferate will not be scrutinised because they will never have to enforce them. But beware. In coalition politics they will get to be bigger players.
Then there are the occasional independent candidates who think they can change the world.
They can’t. If they get to Parliament, and occasionally they do, they are up against a system that does not cater for them.
Now more than ever Britain needs strong and competent leadership, not chaos and instability. Government policy is fatally holed beneath the water line and is sinking fast.
UKIP campaigns for change. Let’s have it in May at both national and Gainsborough district council level.
Chairman, UKIP Gainsborough Constituency Association